Prognostic value of erythropoietin in elderly and senile patients with heart failure and anemia
https://doi.org/10.37586/2686-8636-4-2025-468-478
Abstract
Prognostic value of erythropoietin in elderly and senile patients with heart failure and anemia
OBJECTIVE: to study the prognostic value of erythropoietin (EPO) levels in elderly and senile patients with chronic heart failure (CHF) and anemia.
MATERIAL AND METHODS. EPO levels in blood serum were determined once in 105 patients with CHF and anemia aged 65 to 90 years. The follow-up period was 24 months. The primary endpoint was death from all causes. The adequacy of endogenous EPO production was assessed by the ratio «observed EPO / predicted EPO» (O/P), calculated on the basis of EPO and hemoglobin levels in patients of the control group with iron deficiency anemia without CHF – [HR 1.004 ± 0.004 [95 % CI; (0.919–1.080)]. The value of O/P < 0.9 was considered insufficient production of EPO, O/P > 1.1 – excessive, O/P = 1.0 – adequate. The Kaplan – Meyer method was used to compare survival rates depending on the value of O/P levels of EPO. Regression analysis of proportional hazards of Cox was used to assess the effect of the value of O/P levels of EPO on the risk of death.
RESULTS. In patients with CHF and anemia, the average EPO level was (35.900 ± 2.537) mIU/ml [8.46; 154.00]. According to the obtained ratio of O/P levels of EPO, 59 % of patients showed signs of excessive production of EPO (O/P > 1.1), 18 % – insufficient production (O/P < 0.9) and adequate – in 23 % (O/P = 1.0). The Kaplan – Mayer method showed significantly higher mortality in patients with O/P > 1.1 than in patients with O/P < 0.9 and O/P = 1 (p = 0.00418). The analysis of proportional hazards of Cox revealed an effect on the risk of death of the ratio O/P > 1.1 at the trend level in a single-factor analysis [HR 0.947 (95 % CI; 0.893–1.004), p = 0.069] and significant in a multifactorial [HR 0.924 (95 % CI; 0.859–0.994), p = 0.034].
CONCLUSION. Elderly and senile patients with CHF and anemia are characterized by marked variability in EPO levels, while there may be excessive, insufficient or adequate EPO production. The prognostic value of O/P levels of EPO as a marker of the discrepancy between the degree of anemia and the actual production of EPO was revealed, while the O/P value >1.1 indicates an unfavorable prognosis, since it correlates with an increased risk of death.
About the Authors
A. V. DementevaРоссия
Dementyeva Anna Viktorovna
Moscow
N. I. Solomakhina
Россия
Moscow
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Supplementary files
Review
For citations:
Dementeva A.V., Solomakhina N.I. Prognostic value of erythropoietin in elderly and senile patients with heart failure and anemia. Russian Journal of Geriatric Medicine. 2025;(4):468-478. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.37586/2686-8636-4-2025-468-478
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